| Experts at a Chinese think tank said China is likely to surpass the United States in an all-around way by 2049, the year the People's Republic of China will celebrate its centennial anniversary。
According to a report released Tuesday by the Chinese Academy of Sciences, the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation will be realized and the country will surpass the U.S. as long as it nurtures sound "national health."
The report defines "national health" as the overall operational condition of a country, using resource sufficiency and wealth distribution as the major criteria。
National health is the greatest form of capital China can use to surpass the U.S., the report said。
The report said China's national health has been better than that of the U.S. since 2007, adding that its superior health will further expand in 2019, when China is expected to become the world's biggest economy。
The report includes assessments of the national health of 100 countries, analyzing factors such as natural and economic immunity, national decision-making and enforcement capacity and national responsibilities. The countries were also classified into four categories in terms of their national health status。
China was ranked 11 with a national health status of "up to standard," while the U.S., Japan and Britain were given a status of "health deficient" among 37 countries。
Sweden, Finland and Australia were ranked among the top 10 countries with a status of "surplus health."
Ethiopia, Sudan, Iraq and Afghanistan were ranked at the bottom due to their "weak health condition," according to the report。
The report said that the U.S. health status is deteriorating in tandem with its economic downturn, despite the fact that the U.S. is still a nation of wealth and power。
China's national health is ascending due to its advantageous economic immunity, capacity for regulation and credibility, the report said。
However, China's weak innovation, social inequality, corruption and inadequate resources will challenge the growth of its national health, the report said。
中国科学院国家健康研究组8日在北京对外发布《国家健康报告》第1号称，国家健康是中国超越美国最大、也是最重要的“本钱”，中国只要坚持内修外适、强身健体、善养国家“精气神”，预计到2049年，就一定能够全面超越美国，实现中华民族伟大复兴。
“如果说20世纪是美国的世纪，那么21世纪将是中国的世纪。这不是天真乐观的臆想，而是基于中美国家健康状态事实求是的研判。”这份最新出炉的国家健康报告提出中国超越美国的“路线图”和“时间表”：2007年，中国国家健康就已超越美国；预计到2019年，中国对美国实现经济总量的超越；预计到2049年，新中国成立百年时，实现国际地位超越美国。
该报告分析指出，诊断和预判中美国家健康，双方在“国家体质”、“国家食性”、“生存方式”、“生命周期阶段”四方面有显著不同。其中，美国是一个“消费型”、“寄生型”国家，而中国是一个“生产型”、“劳动型”国家；美国处于“更年期”，肌体老化衰退，保守自恋，恐慌焦虑，易患更年期综合症，中国则处于“青春期”，长得快跑得快，富于梦想，求新求变，乐观自信，易遭遇成长期的烦恼。
从整体上看，美国仍然是一个以“财富型”和“力量型”为主导的国家，按“比健康”的国家评判标准，美国不仅不健康，而且“健康透支”严重。中国国家健康状态属于“达标成长型”，虽然未来40年“家里”还有许多“难念的经”，成长道路上还会碰到各种意想不到的艰难曲折，还会遭遇各种“发展病”的困扰，但前途光明，超越美国只是时间长短问题。
中科院国家健康研究组组长杨多贵研究员表示，中华文明具有输出“发展红利”的特质，2049年全面超越美国实现“中国梦”之后，中国也一定不学美国当“世界警察”，而要当“世界医生”，为人类文明发展进步作更大贡献。
2013年01月09日11:20 中国网 |
